Luxury leaders are divided about the year ahead. Around 39% expect challenges, while 36% anticipate stability, suggesting a market navigating uncertainty rather than clear growth momentum. Only a smaller share sees strong opportunities or major disruptions, highlighting a broadly balanced but cautious outlook for the sector.
Sentiment has rebounded slightly compared with 2025 but remains well below the post-pandemic highs seen earlier in the decade. About 45% of executives expect higher business performance in 2026, while another 47% expect results to be similar to 2025, reinforcing a view that the industry is shifting from rapid expansion toward a phase of disciplined growth and normalisation.
Luxury executives see macro uncertainty as the primary challenge for 2026. The top concerns include geopolitical instability, consumer trading-down behavior, and inflationary pressures, reflecting growing sensitivity to economic volatility and shifting spending priorities among affluent consumers.
The industry continues to pivot toward experience-driven luxury, with 70% of leaders identifying experiential luxury as the leading trend shaping the sector. Wellness-focused luxury, localised brand positioning, and AI-enabled personalisation are also gaining momentum, signaling a shift toward holistic lifestyle engagement rather than product-centric luxury alone.
Luxury brands are reallocating marketing spend toward experiential and digital channels. Investments are increasing in consumer events, digital media, collaborations, and celebrity ambassadors, while traditional advertising and live-stream KOL marketing are declining, reflecting a strategic pivot toward high-impact brand experiences that drive deeper engagement and conversion.
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